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November 2016 China Business Conditions Index: Profitable, but Troubled

December 7, 2016 By CKGSB Knowledge

November 2016 China Business Conditions Index: Profitable, but Troubled

Optimism for Chinese firms is increasing. As they’re making money, they also face different issues. The CKGSB Business Conditions Index posted a mark of 60.8 in November, up from October’s 58.5. This shows that for the survey’s sample firms, of which the majority is relatively successful in China, the next six months are viewed with increased optimism. The CKGSB BCI comprises four sub-indices. Of these, corporate sales fell slightly from 75.4 to 74.0, while corporate profits rose from 57.4 to 61.8. The fact that both of these indices are both well above the confidence threshold of 50 shows that company prospects are improving.

Filed Under: All Articles, BCI, China, Chinese Economy, Economy Tagged With: BCI, Business Conditions Index

China’s Industrial Economy Contracts in Q2 2016: Long-term Outlook Remains Positive

September 8, 2016 By CKGSB Knowledge

China’s Industrial Economy Contracts in Q2 2016: Long-term Outlook Remains Positive

China’s industrial economy remains at the bottom of an L-shaped economic trend, according to the latest CKGSB survey of over 2,000 industrial firms nationwide. The survey, led by CKGSB Professor Gan Jie, shows that overcapacity and weak demand remain the biggest challenges for China’s industrial economy. The Business Sentiment Index, a major indicator of the survey, stood at 46 in Q2 2016, the same with last quarter, but still indicative of contraction. The BSI is the simple average of three diffusion indices including current operating conditions, expected change in operating conditions and investment timing.

Filed Under: All Articles, Chinese Economy, Economy Tagged With: BCI, Business Conditions Index, Chinese Economy, Industrial Economy, Overcapacity

CKGSB Business Conditions Index for August 2016: Optimism prevails, but is on the wane

September 5, 2016 By CKGSB Knowledge

CKGSB Business Conditions Index for August 2016: Optimism prevails, but is on the wane

Everyone in the world is concerned about how the Chinese economy is faring and understandably so. China’s linkages with the world mean that the health of the Chinese economy has a bearing on other economies as well. The CKGSB Business Conditions Index, based on a survey conducted each month, gauges business sentiment about the macro-economic environment among successful Chinese business executives. BCI registered 54.5 in August, slightly less than July’s 56.3. Corporate sales and inventory levels rose slightly.

Filed Under: All Articles, BCI, Chinese Economy, Know China Tagged With: BCI, Business Conditions

CKGSB Business Conditions Index: Reasons for Optimism

May 31, 2016 By CKGSB Knowledge

CKGSB Business Conditions Index: Reasons for Optimism

How do Chinese companies view the next few months? The CKGSB Business Conditions Index registered 59.3 in April, falling slightly on March’s overall index of 59.7. This shows that for the survey’s sample firms, of which the majority are relatively successful in China, the next few months are being viewed with some optimism. The CKGSB Business Conditions Index comprises four sub-indices for corporate sales, corporate profits, corporate financing and inventory levels. Corporate sales fell slightly from 74.5 to 73.1, while the profit index rose from 58.9 in March to 61.5 in April. With the sales forecast falling and the profit rising, this shows that cost expectations are improving.

Filed Under: All Articles, BCI, Chinese Economy, Know China Tagged With: BCI, Business Conditions

CKGSB Business Conditions Index: Waning Optimism in China

March 2, 2016 By CKGSB Knowledge

CKGSB Business Conditions Index: Waning Optimism in China

Everyone in the world is concerned about how the Chinese economy is faring and understandably so. China’s linkages with the world mean that the health of the Chinese economy has a bearing on other economies as well. The CKGSB Business Conditions Index, based on a survey conducted each month, gauges business sentiment about the macro-economic environment among successful Chinese business executives. In January, the Index showed that for most relatively successful firms in China, optimism about business conditions over the next six months is waning, and executives are at best cautiously optimistic.

Filed Under: All Articles, BCI, Chinese Economy Tagged With: BCI, Business Conditions

Business Conditions Index: Cautious Optimism for the Chinese Economy

November 24, 2015 By CKGSB Knowledge

Business Conditions Index: Cautious Optimism for the Chinese Economy

According to the CKGSB Business Conditions Index (BCI), businesses in China remain confident, but it remains unclear if they will continue to. In October 2015, the BCI posted a figure of 54.0, a mild rise over September’s 51.1 and slightly above the confidence threshold of 50. The BCI hit a 14-month high of 61.3 in May 2015 before sliding steadily, with readings from July to September hovering above 50, indicating that the sample firms became less optimistic about business conditions with regard to the following six months. Despite a moderate rally, it is unclear whether the momentum will hold and so companies need to remain cautiously optimistic.

Filed Under: All Articles, BCI, Chinese Economy, Know China Tagged With: BCI, Economy

Business Conditions Index Shows Cooling Optimism in China

August 7, 2015 By CKGSB Knowledge

Business Conditions Index Shows Cooling Optimism in China

The CKGSB Business Conditions Index shows that companies are expecting the Chinese economy to encounter some difficulties in the coming six months.

Filed Under: All Articles, BCI, Chinese Economy, Know China Tagged With: BCI, Chinese Economy, Financing, GDP Growth, Li Wei, Slider

The Chinese Economy Needs to Break Out of the Overcapacity Trap

July 13, 2015 By Li Wei

The Chinese Economy Needs to Break Out of the Overcapacity Trap

China’s economic growth model has created a serious overcapacity problem that will continue to derail future growth unless tackled now.

Filed Under: All Articles, Chinese Economy, Economy, Finance, Know China Tagged With: BCI, Economic Growth, Government Control, Investment, Li Wei, Overcapacity, Slider

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Information, analysis, and interviews about the Chinese economy and doing business in China, from the people who know it best. Presented by the Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business, China's leading business school.


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